Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 odds, UFC 304 predictions, picks, time: Best bets on the fight card from MMA expert

Leon Edwards will try to defend his UFC welterweight title against Belal Muhammad in the main event at UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 on Saturday at 10 p.m. ET from Co-op Live in Manchester, England. The last time they met was in Las Vegas when the match was declared a no contest due to an accidental eye poke against Muhammad at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad in March 2021. But Edwards rebounded from that incident to win his last four bouts, including back-to-back victories over Kamaru Usman and a unanimous decision over Colby Covington. Muhammad will make his first attempt at earning the welterweight crown.

Edwards is a -205 favorite (risk $205 to win $100), while Muhammad comes back at +170 in the latest UFC 304 odds. The co-main event features an interim heavyweight title bout between Tom Aspinall (-380) and Curtis Blaydes (+300). Before locking in your UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 picks, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Kyle Marley. 

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event. Since 2018, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks have returned more than $22,200. Anyone who has followed him is way up. 

Now, with UFC 304 in sight, Marley has studied the UFC betting lines from top to bottom and revealed his top UFC 304 picks. Those picks are only available at SportsLine. 

UFC 304: Makhachev vs. Poirier preview 

Edwards, 32, has dominated since turning pro in 2011. He earned his first win with a knockout over Damian Zlotnicki at 2:15 of the first round at Fight UK MMA: Fight UK 4 on June 5, 2011. Since that time, he has gone 22-3-1, with seven wins by knockout, three by submission and 12 by decision. After competing in the British Association of Mixed Martial Arts, he joined UFC in 2014. Although he lost his first UFC bout, he has been beaten just one time since.

That loss was to Usman in December 2015, losing by unanimous decision. He then went on an eight-match win streak over the next four years before being sidelined for more than a year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. When he came back, he had a no-contest with Muhammad in March 2021. Three months later, he earned a unanimous decision win over Nate Diaz at UFC 263. He followed that up by beating Usman in August 2022 for the welterweight crown. He is No. 4 in the UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings.

Muhammad has also seen a lot of success in his career, which began in August 2012. Shortly after a TKO victory over Steven Carl to improve to 9-0 and earn the Titan Fighting Championships welterweight title in April 2016, he signed on with UFC, where he has been since. He suffered losses in two of his first three UFC matches, but since 2017, has lost only once — a unanimous decision to Geoff Neal at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw in January 2019. Since that bout, he has gone 9-0-1 with the only blemish coming against Edwards in the no contest ruling.

He is 5-0 since the March 2021 fight, and is coming off a unanimous decision win over Gilbert Burns in May 2023 to improve to 23-3-1. Of his wins, 17 have come by decision, five by knockout and one by submission. In a knockout victory over Sean Brady at UFC 280 in October 2022, he earned Performance of the Night. See his full UFC 304 picks at SportsLine.

Top UFC 304 predictions 

We’ll reveal one of Marley’s UFC 304 picks here: He is backing Paddy Pimblett (+110) to defeat Bobby Green (-130) in a battle of lightweights on the main card.

Green, 37, who is ranked 15th among UFC lightweights, has won three of his last four bouts. In his last match, he won a unanimous decision over Jim Miller at UFC 300 this past April. He has had a solid career, posting a 32-15 record with one draw and one no contest. He has won 11 of his matches by knockout, nine by submission and 12 by decision.

The 29-year-old Pimblett is a former Cage Warriors featherweight champion. He made his debut in 2012, winning his first four bouts, before losing by submission to Cameron Else in 35 seconds at Cage Warriors 60 in October 2013. He would go on to win the Cage Warriors title in 2016 with a knockout of Johnny Frachey at Cage Warriors 78. He is 5-0 since joining UFC in 2021, and is 21-3 in his career with six knockouts, nine wins by submission and six wins by decision.

“Paddy isn’t a bad striker, but his edge will be on the mat, and he is a dangerous grappler,” Marley told SportsLine. See who else to back at UFC 304 here.

How to make UFC 304 picks 

Marley has strong picks for Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 and every other bout on the UFC 304 card. He’s also backing a fighter who “will have the crowd on their side” and emerge with a huge victory. Those picks, along with Marley’s full analysis, are only available at SportsLine. 

Who wins UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad, and how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC 304, all from the seasoned expert who’s up nearly $10,000 on MMA picks, and find out.

UFC 304 odds, fight card

See full UFC 304 picks, predictions, best bets here.

Leon Edwards (-205) vs. Belal Muhammad (+170)
Tom Aspinall (-380) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+300)
Bobby Green (-130) vs. Paddy Pimblett (+110)
Christian Leroy Duncan (-130) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (+110)
Arnold Allen (-250) vs. Giga Chikadze (+205)
Muhammad Mokaev (-130) vs. Manel Kape (+110)
Nathaniel Wood (-500) vs. Daniel Pineda (+380)
Molly McCann (-310) vs. Bruna Brasil (+250)
Caolan Loughran (-195) vs. Jake Hadley (+155)
Michael Parkin (-230) vs. Lukasz Brzeski (+190)
Preston Parsons (-155) vs. Oban Elliott (+130)
Sam Patterson (-360) vs. Kiefer Crosbie (+285)
Modestas Bukauskas (-155) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+130)