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College football odds, picks, bets, predictions for Week 5, 2023: Proven model likes Georgia, Michigan State

Written by CBS SPORTS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED on September 27, 2023

No. 2 Michigan continues to feature one of college football’s top defenses, holding its first four opponents to single digits. However, the Wolverines have still failed to meet betting expectations, going winless against the spread in their first four games. They will go on the road for the first time this season when they travel to Nebraska on Saturday afternoon during the Week 5 college football schedule. Michigan is a 17.5-point favorite in the Week 5 college football odds from SportsLine consensus.

Top-ranked Georgia has also failed to cover the spread in its first four games, despite allowing an average of 11.2 points per game. Should you be fading the Wolverines and Bulldogs with your Week 5 college football bets? Before locking in any Week 5 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 5 and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for Week 5

One of the college football picks the model is recommending for Saturday: Georgia (-14.5) covers the spread at Auburn in a 3:30 p.m. ET SEC on CBS kickoff at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Bulldogs have been disappointing their bettors all month, failing to cover the spread in each of their first four games. However, they are facing an Auburn team that has gone winless against the spread in its last three games, including a 27-10 loss at Texas A&M last week.

Georgia cruised to a 42-10 win over Auburn last year, covering the spread as a 27.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs have won and covered in six consecutive meetings between these teams, while Auburn has only covered once in its last 10 games in the month of September. SportsLine’s model expects both of those trends to continue on Saturday, as Georgia is covering the spread in well over 60% of simulations.

Another prediction: Michigan State (+11.5) nearly pulls off an outright upset at Iowa on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Michigan State is coming off back-to-back blowout losses against Washington and Maryland, but it has a more favorable matchup on Saturday. The Spartans were unable to compete with those high-powered offenses, but Iowa has been one of the worst offensive teams in the country for several years.

The Hawkeyes were completely shut down in a 31-0 loss at Penn State last week, managing just 76 total yards on 33 plays. Michigan State has two more passing touchdowns than Iowa this season, and the Spartans have a capable rushing attack as well. They have won four of the last six meetings between these teams, and while the model does not expect them to win outright, they are still covering the spread in over 70% of the latest simulations. See which other teams the model likes here.

How to make college football picks for Week 5

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup in Week 5, and it’s calling for several underdogs to win outright. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence, and which underdogs win outright? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned nearly $2,500 in profit since its inception, and find out.