Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Wednesday, May 11 best bets from proven model

Yankee Stadium hosts a matinee matchup between AL East rivals on Wednesday afternoon. The New York Yankees welcome the Toronto Blue Jays to the Bronx for the second game of a quick divisional series. New York won the first matchup on Tuesday evening, using a walk-off home run to improve to 21-8 in 2022. Toronto is 17-14 after three consecutive defeats.

First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET in New York. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Yankees as -145 favorites on the money line, while the Over-Under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in the latest Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds. Before you make any Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 31-19 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through five weeks, returning almost $800 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Blue Jays vs. Yankees, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Blue Jays vs. Yankees:

• Blue Jays vs. Yankees money line: Yankees -145, Blue Jays +125 
• Blue Jays vs. Yankees over-under: 7.5 runs 
• Blue Jays vs. Yankees run line: Yankees -1.5 
• TOR: The Blue Jays are 7-8 in road games 
• NYY: The Yankees are 13-4 in home games

Why you should back the Blue Jays

Toronto has impressive traits on offense and in run prevention. The Blue Jays are above-average overall on offense, scoring 120 runs this season. Toronto is in the top five of the AL with a .237 batting average, and the Blue Jays also have intriguing power. That includes top-four marks in the American League with 53 doubles, 35 home runs, and a .392 slugging percentage. 

On the mound, the Blue Jays will hand the ball to veteran right-hander Jose Berrios. Berrios finished in the top ten of Cy Young voting in 2021, posting a 3.52 ERA in 192 innings. He struck 9.6 batters per nine innings and walked only 2.1 batters per nine innings last season. From there, right-handers notably struggle against Berrios, posting an ugly .668 OPS against Berrios across a lengthy MLB career.

Why you should back the Yankees

Aaron Judge was the hero on Tuesday, and he has been one of the best players in MLB this season. Judge leads the AL with 10 home runs, posting a .626 slugging percentage in the process. He is the linchpin of New York’s offense, and the Yankees currently rank in the top five of the AL in runs scored (130), slugging percentage (.406), home runs (39), walk rate (9.8 percent), batting average (.237), and on-base percentage (.318). 

Toronto has the second-worst bullpen ERA (4.32) in the American League, and the Yankees should have chances. In contrast, New York’s bullpen is the best in the AL, leading the league with a 2.38 ERA in 2022. Yankees relievers also lead the AL in ground ball rate and wins above replacement, and starting pitcher Jameson Taillon currently sports a profile that features 21 strikeouts and only two walks so far this season. 

How to make Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Blue Jays vs. Yankees? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Blue Jays vs. Yankees you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.