Week 4 NFL survivor pool pick, advice, strategy: Expert who faded Bengals, Ravens reveals top knockout pick

If looking for a sleeper for your Week 4 NFL knockout pool picks, then the Bears could be your team. The Bears will host the Rams, and Chicago has won its last six home games. One reason potentially to slot Chicago into Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks is that the Rams don’t travel well to NFC North locales. They are just 2-10 over their last 12 road games versus the division and have lost three straight in Chicago, not scoring a touchdown in any of those. The Raiders could also be another overlooked option for Week 4 NFL eliminator pool picks, as they host a struggling Browns squad. Cleveland will be without tight end David Njoku and both starting offensive tackles, and the Browns have lost four straight meetings with Las Vegas.

Winning in NFL survivor pools is always about the best NFL survivor matchups, not necessarily picking the best team. Before finalizing any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team proven expert R.J. White is backing.

White has been SportsLine’s No. 1 NFL against-the-spread expert over the last seven years, going 643-543-34 against the spread to put him up more than 46 units on those picks at SportsLine since 2017. He has also delivered a 56.7% hit rate on his Vegas contest picks over the last nine seasons and has two finishes in the money, including finishing 18th out of 2,748 entries back in 2017.

His advice can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, White correctly recommended to avoid the Bengals, who lost to the Patriots as 8.5-point favorites. Instead, White picked the Saints, who beat the Panthers by 37 points in the most lopsided game of the week. Then in Week 2, he avoided the Ravens, who lost to the Raiders as 8.5-point favorites, and instead backed the Texans, who defeated the Bears. He then advised to avoid Cincinnati again in Week 3, despite it being the heaviest favorites, and the Bengals would be upset by the Commanders.

Anyone who followed his advice avoided three of the biggest NFL upsets of the season and advanced in their NFL knockout pools.

Now, White has turned his attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and locked in his Week 4 survivor pool pick. You can only see who White is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions 

In Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season, White is avoiding the Cardinals (-3.5, 49), even though they are a home favorite over a Commanders team coming off a short week. Washington is 11-3 over the last 14 meetings between the two, including winning three of the last four in Arizona. Even with a rookie quarterback, the Commanders have arguably the most efficient offense in the league, leading in time of possession, plays per drive, yards per drive and having the fewest giveaways. Excluding kneel-downs, the Commanders have scored on 14 straight drives, tied for the longest streak by any team since 2000.

As for Arizona, it has already given up two rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks this season, which makes this a poor matchup since Jayden Daniels’ three rushing touchdowns top all quarterbacks and are the fifth-most in the NFL. The Cardinals’ own Heisman-winning quarterback in Kyler Murray has a 4-7 record over his last 11 starts, while Arizona has an NFL-worst 9-28 record since the 2022 season. With James Conner (17 rushing yards last week) coming off his lowest rushing total in over four years, Murray may not get much help on offense. So, White advises to ignore this game’s line and look for other options in Week 4 NFL survivor. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, White is backing a team whose opponent could get “next to nothing” out of its quarterback. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which team is a must-back in your Week 4 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 4, all from the expert who avoided the Bengals in Weeks 1 and 3 the Ravens in Week 2, and is up almost 50 units on ATS picks.