Vikings vs Saints prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 10 best bets from proven model

The New Orleans Saints travel to take on the Minnesota Vikings in a key NFC showdown on Sunday afternoon. The Saints currently sit atop the NFC South standings after winning their last two games. The Vikings, meanwhile, have reeled off four straight victories after opening the season 1-4. 

Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. New Orleans is a 3-point favorite in the Saints vs. Vikings odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 41. Before making any Vikings vs. Saints picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-123 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 28-15 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Vikings and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 10 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Vikings vs. Saints:

• Vikings vs. Saints spread: Saints -3
• Vikings vs. Saints over/under: 41 points
• Vikings vs. Saints money line: Saints -152, Vikings +128
• Vikings vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Vikings vs. Saints live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Saints can cover

Running back Alvin Kamara has been on a roll in recent weeks. The veteran ball carrier has racked up 97 or more all-purpose yards in four of his last five games and he’s averaging 6.3 yards per reception. Quarterback Derek Carr has completed over 70% of his throws with two touchdown passes in each of his last two outings. 

In addition, New Orleans is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games against Minnesota and the Vikings are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have also won six of their last eight meetings against an opponent from the NFC North. See which team to pick here.

Why the Vikings can cover

The Vikings’ heroics last week were led by quarterback Josh Dobbs, who had zero practice time with his new teammates after being acquired from Arizona before the NFL’s trade deadline. After rookie QB Jaren Hall was hurt early in the game, Dobbs filled in admirably, throwing for 158 yards and two scores, while rushing for 66 yards on seven attempts. Now that he has a full week of practice with his new teammates, Dobbs should be more familiar with his supporting cast in Minnesota.

With All-Pro wide receiver Justin Jefferson set to miss his fifth straight game with a hamstring injury, Minnesota will continue to be led by tight end T.J. Hockenson and rookie wide receiver Jordan Addison. Hockenson has at least eight targets and 50 or more receiving yards in each game Jefferson has missed. Addison has scored five touchdowns combined in his last five games and should be a focal point in Minnesota’s passing attack once again. See which team to pick here.

How to make Saints vs. Vikings picks

The model has simulated Vikings vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model’s Vikings vs. Saints pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Vikings vs. Saints, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Vikings vs. Saints spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 174-123 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.