Suns vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 4 best bets from model on 86-58 run

A crucial Game 4 Western Conference showdown features the Dallas Mavericks hosting the Phoenix Suns on Sunday afternoon. After dropping the first two games, the Mavericks rallied in Game 3 to pull out a 103-94 win. They will need a similar effort in this matchup to hopefully tie the series 2-2. On the other side, the Suns would like to secure a win and head back to Phoenix with a chance to close out the series. 

Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center. Phoenix is favored by 2.5-points in the latest Mavericks vs. Suns odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 214.5. Before locking in any Mavericks vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavericks, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavericks vs. Suns:

• Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Phoenix -2.5
• Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 214.5 points
• Suns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix -145, Dallas +125
• PHO: The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite
• DAL: The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic is one of the most impactful players in the league. Doncic plays the game at a calming pace, setting his teammates up for easy looks or creating his own shot. The three-time All-Star has a smooth jumper from mid-range and downtown while having enough strength to finish with consistency down low. Doncic is leading the team in points (32.2), rebounds (10.3), and assists (6.8). In the Game 3 win, he racked up 26 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists. 

Guard Jalen Brunson is a super-quick and agile scoring threat in the backcourt. Brunson has an array of moves to get past his defender and be a constant offensive playmaker. The Villanova product has a reliable jump shot with solid court vision. Brunson averages 24.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. The 2018 second-round pick also had a great performance in Game 3. He dropped a series-high 28 points with four rebounds and five assists. 

Why the Suns can cover

Center Deandre Ayton knows how to use his size and athleticism in the paint against opposing players. Ayton has a diverse offensive game plan that includes post moves, a mid-range jumper with constant put-back opportunities. The Arizona product has the length and frame that allows him to snag boards and shoot right over his defender. Ayton is averaging 19.2 points and nine rebounds per game during the postseason.

Guard Chris Paul is a true floor general for Phoenix. Paul is relentless on the hardwood and will do anything to help his team gain an advantage. The 12-time All-Star knows how to orchestrate the offense with calmness and comfort. Paul is also fearless when attacking the lane and knows how to find his favorite spots on the court. He’s logging 21.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.

How to make Mavericks vs. Suns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 216 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Suns vs. Mavericks picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Suns vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.