Monday Night Football odds, line, spread: Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, NFL picks from expert on 40-25 roll

For the first time in NFL history, two teams that met in the Super Bowl will meet in a regular season in which each team owns the best record in each conference. On Monday Night Football, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Philadelphia Eagles in a Week 11 showdown between elite teams. Kansas City is 7-2 overall and 3-1 at Arrowhead Stadium this season, with the Chiefs also coming off a Super Bowl win. Philadelphia is 8-1 overall, matching the franchise’s best start in history, and the Eagles are 4-1 on the road. Both teams were idle last week. 

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Kansas City. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Chiefs as 2.5-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 45.5 in the latest Eagles vs. Chiefs odds. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Eagles picks and NFL predictions, you need to see what red-hot SportsLine expert Emory Hunt has to say, considering his mastery of picks involving the Eagles.

Hunt is the founder and CEO of Football Gameplan, which has been supplying analysis of all levels of football since 2007. He is a former running back for the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and knows the game from a player’s perspective. Hunt’s dedication to analysis of all levels of college and professional football helped him finish 48-38 on all XFL and USFL spread picks in 2023, and he’s off to a 49-35-1 start in the CFL this year.

Moreover, Hunt has a read on the pulse of the Eagles. In fact, he is a blistering 40-25-1 (+1141) on his last 66 picks in games involving Philadelphia. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hunt has set his sights on Eagles vs. Chiefs and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Eagles vs. Chiefs:

• Eagles vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -2.5
• Eagles vs. Chiefs over/under: 45.5 points
• Eagles vs. Chiefs money line: Chiefs -145, Eagles +122
• PHL: Eagles are 5-2-2 against the spread this season
• KC: Chiefs are 6-3 against the spread this season
• Eagles vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Eagles vs. Chiefs live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Eagles can cover

The Eagles are No. 3 in the NFL in points per game (28.0), and Philadelphia leads the league in scoring points on more than 48% of offensive possessions. The Eagles are also No. 2 in the league in points per drive (2.61) and sit atop the sport with 210 first downs. Part of that strength comes as a result of league-leading marks in third down efficiency (50.0%) and fourth down efficiency (76.5%), and Philadelphia’s short-yardage offense is dynamic.

The Eagles are in the top five in total yards per game (376.8) and yards per possession (36.5). Quarterback Jalen Hurts is one of the game’s best and most valuable players, generating 22 total touchdowns and more than 2,600 yards this season. Hurts is the best short-yardage rusher in the league at the position and has a stellar QBR (66.0) to go along with a 97.0 passer rating. See which team to pick here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

The Chiefs are keyed by Patrick Mahomes, and the reigning NFL MVP has the best win-loss record (71-18) for any quarterback since 1970. Mahomes is also 16-2 at the helm for Kansas City in the month of November and is the career NFL record-holder in passer rating (104.8). This season, Mahomes has used his legs effectively, leading the league in yards (270) and first downs (16) on quarterback scrambles. He is also No. 3 in total offense with 2,611 yards and ranks in the top six in pass completions (229), passing touchdowns (17), and passing yards (2,442).

Mahomes is adept at getting rid of the ball, posting the NFL’s second-best sack rate (3.47%), and is also No. 2 with a 72.9 QBR this season. In addition to Mahomes, the Chiefs have the NFL’s most prolific tight end in Travis Kelce, who caught six passes for 81 yards and a touchdown in Kansas City’s last matchup against Philadelphia. Kelce is an eight-time Pro Bowl selection and led NFL tight ends in receptions, yards, and touchdowns last season. Kelce has seven straight 1,000-yard receiving seasons and is the all-time record-holder among tight ends, averaging 72.0 receiving yards per game. See which team to pick here.

How to make Chiefs vs. Eagles picks

Hunt has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning Under the point total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Chiefs vs. Eagles on Monday Night Football, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Eagles spread hits hard, all from the expert who is 40-25 on picks involving Philadelphia, and find out.