Michigan vs. Wisconsin odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 5 predictions from model on 81-61 run
Written by luck on October 2, 2021
The Wisconsin Badgers‘ difficult early-season schedule continues on Saturday when they host the No. 14 Michigan Wolverines at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisc. Wisconsin (1-2, 0-1 in Big Ten) will be the only FBS program to face three opponents ranked in the top 20 of the AP poll in its first four games this season. The first two opponents were No. 19 Penn State and No. 12 Notre Dame, who both beat the Badgers. Meanwhile the Wolverines (4-0, 1-0) are playing their first road game of the year. They are 4-0 for the first time since 2017 when they finished 8-5.
Kickoff is set for noon ET. The Badgers are two-point favorites in the latest Wisconsin vs. Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 43.5. Before making any Michigan vs. Wisconsin picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. After going a sizzling 9-3 in Week 4, It also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on a 81-61 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now the model has dialed in on Wisconsin vs. Michigan and just revealed its CFB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are the college football odds and betting lines and trends for Michigan vs. Wisconsin:
- Wisconsin vs. Michigan spread: Badgers -2
- Wisconsin vs. Michigan over/under: 43.5 points
- Wisconsin vs. Michigan moneyline: Badgers -125, Wolverines +105
- WISC: The defense leads the country in rushing yards allowed per game (23.0)
- MICH: The Wolverines are giving up just 11.8 points per game, which ranks fourth in the country
Featured Game | Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Why the Badgers can cover
Wisconsin has fielded a stout defense to start the season. The Badgers are allowing just 210.3 total yards per game. That leads the Big Ten and ranks second in the country, behind only Georgia. Wisconsin also has given up just four offensive touchdowns this season; only the Bulldogs have allowed fewer.
In addition, the Badgers face a Michigan team that has not been forced to pass the ball this season. The Wolverines average just 164.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the 14-team Big Ten and 116th in the country. They haven’t attempted more than 17 passes in a game.
Why the Wolverines can cover
The Michigan defense has been excellent to start the season. The Wolverines are giving up just 11.8 points per game, which ranks second in the Big Ten and fourth in the country. This is the first time that Michigan has held each of its first four opponents to 14 or fewer points since the 1997 national championship season.
In addition, the Wolverines face a Wisconsin quarterback, Graham Mertz, who has struggled over the last year. Over his last eight games, Mertz has thrown three touchdowns versus 11 interceptions. Last week against Notre Dame, Mertz threw four interceptions and only one touchdown and earned the worst passer rating of his career (81.6).
How to make Wisconsin vs. Michigan picks
The model has simulated Michigan vs. Wisconsin 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Wisconsin vs. Michigan ATS pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Michigan vs. Wisconsin? And which side is covering well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Wisconsin vs. Michigan spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on an 81-61 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
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