LSU vs. Arkansas odds, spread, picks, line: 2024 college football Week 8 predictions from proven model

The Arkansas Razorbacks will host the No. 8 LSU Tigers in a SEC battle on Saturday night. This will be the 70th edition of The Battle for the Boot, with the Tigers leading the all-time series 44-23-2. LSU (5-1, 2-0), is coming off a 29-26 overtime victory over then-No. 9 Ole Miss, and the Tigers have won five in a row. Meanwhile, Arkansas (4-2, 2-1) had a bye last week but upset the then-No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers in its last contest. LSU won last year’s meeting, 34-31, at home.

Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Ark. The Tigers are 2.5-point favorites, per SportsLine consensus, in the latest Arkansas vs. LSU odds. The over/under for total points at 56.5. Before entering any LSU vs. Arkansas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it at sportsbooks has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. LSU. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and sports betting lines for LSU vs. Arkansas:

• Arkansas vs. LSU spread: LSU -2.5
• Arkansas vs. LSU over/under: 56.5 points
• Arkansas vs. LSU money line: LSU -134, Arkansas +113
• LSU: Has hit the game total Under in four of five games in 2024
• ARK: 4-0 against the spread as an underdog this season
• Arkansas vs. LSU picks: See picks here
• Arkansas vs. LSU streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas enters this game rested, coming off a bye, but also with momentum after knocking off No. 4 Tennessee in its last contest. The Vols were averaging 54 points per game entering that matchup but could only muster up 14 points versus a Hogs defense which has now kept each of its last three opponents to 21 or fewer. It was the Razorbacks’ first victory over a top-five team since, coincidentally, knocking off No. 1 LSU in 2007.

The Razorbacks have a huge spread record advantage in this game as they are 5-1 against the spread (ATS), the best mark in the SEC. Meanwhile, LSU is just 2-4 ATS — the second-worst SEC mark — including 1-3 as a favorite in 2024. The Hogs have also played above their skis in recent matchups against ranked teams, covering in eight of their last nine versus AP-ranked opponents. While LSU has outright won many of the recent meetings between these two, Arkansas has complied a 12-4-1 ATS record over the teams’ last 17 matchups. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why LSU can cover

Multiple players turned in solid performances to lead LSU to victory last week versus Ole Miss, but perhaps none more so than Garrett Nussmeier, who threw for 337 yards and three touchdowns. Kyren Lacy was Nussmeier’s top target, picking up 111 receiving yards and a touchdown as he’s now posted back-to-back games with 100-plus yards. The defense also played its part in shutting down Ole Miss’ potent attack as the Tigers sacked Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart six times, after he had been taken down a total of six times over his previous four games combined.

LSU has dominated The Battle for the Golden Boot rivalry recently, winning seven of the last eight matchups, including four straight at Arkansas. The Tigers also own a sterling 21-2 record against unranked opponents since Brian Kelly took over as head coach in 2022. Meanwhile, Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman is just 1-5 at home versus top-10 ranked teams as head coach of the Razorbacks. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Arkansas vs. LSU picks

The model has simulated LSU vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins LSU vs. Arkansas, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Arkansas vs. LSU spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.