Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts by NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle’s rough season

The Texans went from 30th in the NFL in scoring in 2022 to 13th in 2023, with quarterback C.J. Stroud earning Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. Now, Stroud gets Tank Dell back from injury and adds Stefon Diggs to a wide receiving corps that also includes Nico Collins. Does that mean that you should make a heavy investment in Houston during your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep or should a first-place schedule be a cause for concern? A reliable set of 2024 Fantasy football rankings can help ensure you’re getting maximum value out of every pick and avoiding potential 2024 Fantasy football busts. As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle’s 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He’d go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he’d finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf. The 26-year-old has a current ADP of 44.8, and is going off the board in the fourth round on average in CBS Sports fantasy drafts. While Metcalf is coming off back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, the model has a bearish outlook for the former Ole Miss standout in 2024.

Metcalf is competing for targets with Tyler Lockett, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Noah Fant in a Seattle offense that is expected to be run heavy. Metcalf is currently being drafted ahead of guys like Chris Olave, Cooper Kupp, DeVonta Smith, and Drake London, who are all ranked ahead of him in SportsLine’s fantasy PPR rankings. Based on his current draft status and the risk involved, the model sees Metcalf as one of the top fantasy bust candidates heading into the 2024 season.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams. Despite the fact that the former first-round pick has 25 catches for 395 yards and three touchdowns over 18 games in his career, there’s been a lot of optimism about Williams. He’s being drafted in the 11th round of 2024 Fantasy football drafts on average and that’s largely because of the speed he brings to a high-powered offense.

However, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta are going to receiver the bulk of the work in the Detroit passing game and both Jahmyr Gibbs and Kalif Raymond could be targeted more frequently too. So while the 11th round is a reasonable spot to start thinking about high-upside opportunities, the model just isn’t convinced this is the right spot for Williams. It ranks him behind receivers like Brandin Cooks and Josh Palmer, who are available 25 picks later on average. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.