Bills vs. Bengals odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions, bets by model on 174-123 run

The Buffalo Bills aim to enact revenge against the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday Night Football in Week 9. Cincinnati eliminated Buffalo from the postseason in January, and the Bengals have won five of the last seven meetings between the franchises. The Bengals also host this matchup at Paycor Stadium, where the team is 2-1 this season. Cincinnati is 4-3 overall, with Buffalo entering at 5-3 overall and 1-2 on the road in 2023.

Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET in Cincinnati. The Bengals are 2-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50.5 in the latest Bills vs. Bengals odds. Before you make any Bengals vs. Bills picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-123 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-15 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bills vs. Bengals and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bills vs. Bengals:

• Bills vs. Bengals spread: Bengals -2
• Bills vs. Bengals over/under: 50.5 points
• Bills vs. Bengals money line: Bengals -128, Bills +107
• BUF: Bills are 3-5 against the spread this season
• CINN: Bengals are 3-3-1 against the spread this season
• Bills vs. Bengals picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Bills vs. Bengals live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Bills can cover

Buffalo’s offense is fueled by one of the best passing combinations in the NFL. Over the last three seasons, no tandem has combined for more passing touchdowns (27) than Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs, with each bringing individual brilliance to the table. Allen leads the NFL in QBR (77.1) and completion rate (71.7%) this season, and he is also in the top three of the league in passing touchdowns (17), passing first downs (107), and sack rate (4.03%). Allen is a top-five quarterback in passing yards (2,165) and yards per attempt (7.6), and he is also near the top of the league with 205 completions and a 101.5 passer rating. 

He is also a dual-threat option, leading Buffalo with five rushing touchdowns and 5.3 yards per carry, but Allen’s connection with Diggs remains the key to Buffalo’s offense. Diggs leads the NFL with 64 receptions this season, and he ranks in the top four of the league with 748 receiving yards and six receiving touchdowns. Diggs is a three-time Pro Bowl selection with five straight 1,000-yard seasons, and he was in the top five of the NFL in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns over the course of the 2022 season. See which team to pick here.

Why the Bengals can cover

Cincinnati’s defense could be effective in this home matchup. The Bengals lead the NFL with 10 interceptions this season, and Bills QB Josh Allen has the second-most interceptions (eight) in the league this season. Cincinnati is also in the top five of the NFL with 13 takeaways and above-average with 21 sacks. The Bengals hold opponents to a 48.1% red zone efficiency mark, and two-time Pro Bowl pass rusher Trey Hendrickson is a consistent menace to opposing offenses. Hendrickson has 8.0 sacks this season, a top-six mark in the league, and he has the fourth-most sacks (43.5) in the NFL since the start of the 2020 season.

 Buffalo’s offense is prolific on the whole, but the Bills take a sizable dip away from home. The Bills are just 1-3 in games not played in Buffalo this season, and Allen’s numbers are ugly in road environments. That includes six touchdown passes and six interceptions in four games, with an 83.7 passer rating that is dwarfed by his home performance in the same category. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bills vs. Bengals picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, with no passer projected to reach 300 yards and no rusher projected to reach 80 yards. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bills vs. Bengals, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Bengals spread you need to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.