Brazil vs. Uruguay prediction, odds, line, start time: Copa America 2024 quarterfinal picks by proven expert

South American powers meet Saturday in the quarterfinals of Copa America 2024 when Brazil take on Uruguay. The Brazilians were shaky at times in group play, settling for a draw against both Colombia and Costa Rica and defeating Paraguay on their way to a second-place finish in Group D. Uruguay enter this matchup in tremendous form after sweeping through Group C and picking up the maximum of nine points. Brazil will be without Vinícius Júnior, who received his second yellow card in the group stage. 

Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Brazil are +165 favorites (risk $100 to win $165) in the latest Uruguay vs. Brazil odds, while Uruguay are +210 underdogs on the 90-minute money line. A 90-minute draw is priced at +175 and the over/under for total goals scored is 1.5. Brazil are -118 favorites to advance, while Uruguay are -110. Before locking in any Uruguay vs. Brazil picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Last year, Green was profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.05 units), FA Cup (+3.07), EFL Cup (+4.47) and Euro 2024 qualifiers (+6.30), among others. He also was solid with his Premier League picks this year, going 30-22-1 (+7.07).

Now, Green has broken down Uruguay vs. Brazil from every angle and has locked in his picks and Copa America 2024 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green’s picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Brazil vs. Uruguay:

• Brazil vs. Uruguay 90-minute money line: Brazil +165, Uruguay +210, Draw +175
• Brazil vs. Uruguay over/under: 1.5 goals  
• Brazil vs. Uruguay to advance: Brazil -118, Uruguay -110
• URU: With nine goals in three matches, Uruguay are first in the Copa America 
• BRA: In terms of goal differential, Brazil are fifth in the Copa America at +3 
• Brazil vs. Uruguay picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Brazil can win

Junior’s absence looms large, but the Brazilians are expected to turn to 17-year-old phenom Endrick in his place. After scoring 11 goals for Palmeiras last season, he’s headed to Real Madrid later this month. He’s also scored three goals for Brazil in recent international friendlies, including the only goal in a 1-0 win over England at Wembley Stadium in March. 

Additionally, Maxi Araujo is questionable for Uruguay after leaving the game against USA on a stretcher. The 24-year-old was tied for a team-high two goals in the three group-stage matches. See which team to pick here.

Why Uruguay can win

This group had a tournament-high seven players score a goal in the group stage. Their goal differential of +8 was by far the best in group play as well, with no other squad topping five. 

With Araujo’s status in doubt, midfielder Federico Valverde is one of the top options. Valverde is able to thread the needle as a passer while owning the ability to score on his own. In the 2023-24 season with Real Madrid, he had two goals and seven assists. An underrated factor of Uruguay’s success thus far is their defense. They have limited their opponents to 22 shots which are the second fewest in the group stage. Uruguay also allowed 1.1 expected goals, which were the fewest. See which team to pick here.

How to make Uruguay vs. Brazil picks

Green has broken down Uruguay vs. Brazil from every possible angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has locked in two confident best bets. He also is offering a full breakdown of this match. He’s sharing his Copa America 2024 picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Uruguay vs. Brazil on Saturday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers have all the value, all from the soccer expert who was red-hot picking multiple leagues in 2023, and find out.