Stars vs. Oilers odds, Game 5 score prediction: 2024 NHL Western Conference Final picks, bets by proven model

The 2024 NHL Western Conference Final continues as the Dallas Stars host the Edmonton Oilers on Friday. Dallas took a 2-1 series lead with a 5-3 win in Game 3 in Edmonton. The Stars had an early 2-0 lead to start Game 4, but the Oilers rallied to a 5-2 win and tie the series up 2-2. 

Opening faceoff at American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Dallas is a -129 favorite (risk $129 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Stars vs. Oilers odds from SportsLine consensus while Edmonton is a +109 underdog. The over/under for total goals scored is 6 and Dallas is a -1.5 (+192) favorite on the puck line. Before making any Oilers vs. Stars picks, you need to check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

SportsLine’s model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. It entered the 2024 NHL playoffs on a 7-4 run on top-rated puck-line picks.     

Now, the model has set its sights on Stars vs. Oilers and just locked in its NHL playoff picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds and trends for Oilers vs. Stars: 

• Stars vs. Oilers money line: Dallas -129, Edmonton +109
• Stars vs. Oilers over/under: 6 goals
• Stars vs. Oilers puck line: Dallas -1.5 (+197)
• DAL: Jake Oettinger is tied for first in the playoffs with 10 wins
• EDM: Connor McDavid leads all skaters in the playoffs with 28 points
• Stars vs. Oilers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Oilers

One thing that the Oilers have lacked throughout the playoffs is depth scoring, and they were able to get that in Game 4. While McDavid played a huge role with setting up three goals and Leon Draisaitl found the back of the net for the second time in the series, the Oilers also got scoring help from fourth-liner Mattias Janmark, as well as defensemen Mattias Ekholm and Evan Bouchard.

The scoring helped give Stuart Skinner a breather after he gave up the first goal of the game less than a minute into the first period. He ended up only facing 22 shots on goal and Dallas will likely lay on the pressure on home ice in Game 5. Stopping those early goals will give Edmonton a better chance of winning on Friday. See who to back at SportsLine. 

Why you should back the Stars

Dallas was dealt a blow in the second period of Game 4 when Chris Tanev exited with a lower-body injury, and they could be without the dynamic defenseman for Game 5 as he’s considered a game-time decision. However, Pete DeBoer’s team has gotten past even tougher teams in these playoffs by exercising its depth. Dallas’ defense should rise to the occasion if Tanev can’t play, especially in front of their home fans.

The Stars up their chances of winning Game 5 if they continue getting goals from different parts of their lineup. Young forward Wyatt Johnston has goals in back-to-back games, and defenseman Esa Lindell is riding a three-game points streak. Captain Jamie Benn has tallied at least one point in his last five games and has four assists in his last two, so he will be eager to continue setting his teammates up for big goals. See who to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Stars vs. Oilers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 5.9 combined goals. It also says one side of the money line is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Oilers vs. Stars, and which side of the money line is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Oilers vs. Stars money line to jump on Friday, all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.