New Mexico vs. San Diego State prediction, odds, line: 2024 Week 11 college football picks from proven model

The New Mexico Lobos (3-6) and the San Diego State Aztecs (3-5) collide in a Mountain West showdown on Friday night. These teams enter this matchup on losing streaks. New Mexico fell to Wyoming, 49-45, on Nov. 2. This was the Lobos’ second straight loss. Meanwhile, the Aztecs are coming off a 56-24 loss to Boise State in Week 10. The Aztecs have gone 2-1 in Mountain West play this season, while New Mexico is 2-3 in conference action. 

Kickoff from Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, Calif., is at 10:30 p.m. ET. The Aztecs are 1.5-point favorites, down a point from the opener, in the latest New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points scored is 65.5. Before making any San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on New Mexico vs. San Diego State and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football betting lines and trends for New Mexico vs. San Diego State:

• New Mexico vs. San Diego State spread: Aztecs -1.5
• New Mexico vs. San Diego State over/under: 65.5 points 
• New Mexico vs. San Diego State money line: Aztecs -118, Lobos -103
• UNM: 5-4 ATS this season 
• SDSU: 4-4 ATS this season 
• New Mexico vs. San Diego State picks: See picks here
• New Mexico vs. San Diego State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why New Mexico can cover

New Mexico enters this contest with one of the best offenses in the Mountain West. The Lobos are third in the conference in scoring offense (34.8) and rushing offense (230.9), while ranking fourth in passing offense (249.2). They’ve scored at least 30 points in six games this season, including three games with 50-plus points. Sophomore quarterback Devon Dampier is a dual threat under center. 

Dampier can push the ball downfield and is an effective ball carrier in open space. The Arizona native is first in the Mountain West in passing yards (2,243) and fifth in rushing yards (745). He’s also logged 23 total touchdowns this season. In his last outing, Dampier threw for 164 yards, rushed for a season-high 207 yards and had three rushing scores. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why San Diego State can cover

The SDSU offense starts with senior running back Marquez Cooper. He ranks second in the Mountain West in rushing yards (842) and rushing yards per game (105.3). The Maryland native also has nine rushing touchdowns and averages 4.6 yards per carry. He has three games with 100-plus rushing yards. 

Freshman quarterback Danny O’Neil has impressive arm strength and will take some shots downfield. The Indiana native has thrown for 1,395 yards and eight passing touchdowns. He’s thrown for at least 200 yards in four outings this season. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make New Mexico vs. San Diego State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 58 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins New Mexico vs. San Diego, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.