Free MLB player props, odds for May 29: Chris Sale, Zack Wheeler among bets for Thursday pitcher outs picks

The Thursday MLB schedule features five games, including a doubleheader. After the Braves and Phillies play a makeup contest at 1:05 p.m. ET, they’ll then send out a pair of aces for Game 2 at 6:45 p.m. ET. Chris Sale and Zack Wheeler could be the focus of MLB prop bets in that second contest, with everything from their earned runs allowed to walks issued to strikeouts to MLB pitcher outs drawing interest. Sale and Wheeler finished first and second, respectively, in NL Cy Young voting in 2024, so a pitcher’s duel could make the Overs for their outs recorded props tempting, especially considering the limited options available in Thursday props. They share the MLB prop line of 17.5 outs, albeit different MLB props odds, but these can be played via a BetMGM promo code.

Targeting pitcher outs props is a popular way to attack MLB betting, and even with just four games on Thursday’s MLB schedule starting at 6:40 p.m. ET or later, you can still find value on the board. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB outs recorded picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest FanDuel promo code and Caesars Sportsbook promo code.

The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 27-21 run (56%) on all top-rated MLB picks since the start of the season. The model is up 15.75 units on home run prop picks over the last 51 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB pitcher outs props on Thursday. These three picks can be parlayed for +408 odds and would win over $400 on a $100 bet. Also, be sure to see their best home run props for Thursday.

Best Thursday pitcher outs MLB player prop picks:

• Chris Sale Over 17.5 outs recorded (-120)
• Zack Wheeler Over 17.5 outs recorded (-125)
• Ryan Gusto Under 15.5 outs recorded (-185)
• Parlay these picks for +408 odds (odds subject to change)

Chris Sale Over 17.5 outs recorded (-120)

The reigning Cy Young winner got off to a rocky start as he failed to go past 5.0 innings, or 15 outs recorded, in each of his first six starts. However, Sale has found his rhythm and averaged 6.2 innings, or 20 outs recorded, over his last five starts. Four of the five have seen him go Over 17.5 pitcher outs, and he just missed in the other with 17 outs. Atlanta and Philly playing a doubleheader on Thursday means both bullpens will be taxed, which then means both managers may be a little more reliant on their respective starters to stay on the mound longer. Add in that Sale is coming off five days of rest, instead of the standard four, and the model projects 5.9 innings, or 17.7 outs, making the Over the value play with a DraftKings promo code.

Zack Wheeler Over 17.5 outs recorded (-125) 

The effect of the doubleheader also favors Wheeler to stay on the mound longer, but his history also indicates that will be the case. He’s gone Over 17.5 pitcher outs in four of his last five starts versus Atlanta as the vaunted Braves’ lineup hasn’t given him much difficulty. The RHP is holding this current Atlanta roster to just a .206 batting average, with Matt Olson, Marcell Ozuna and Ozzie Albies all hitting .200 or worse against him. Wheeler has been an innings eater this season, ranking third in the NL with 70.2 IP as he’s recorded at least 18 outs in each of his last eight starts. The model has him going 6.0 innings on Thursday and recording 18 outs.

Ryan Gusto Under 15.5 outs recorded (-185)

The Houston rookie has looked very much like a first-year player in the midst of shuffling back and forth between starting and relieving. Gusto has excelled in the latter, with a 0.93 ERA but has struggled immensely as a starter with a 5.96 ERA across six starts. He’s recorded more than 15 outs just once across those half-dozen starts due to the inability to keep batters off the basepaths. Both Gusto’s 9.7 hits allowed per nine innings and 4.1 BB/9 would rank among the bottom 10 in baseball, had he met the innings requirements. SportsLine’s model has Gusto even going Under 14.5 pitcher outs, so you should jump on this MLB prop line of 15.5, which could be done with the help of a bet365 bonus code.

Want more pitcher outs picks for Thursday?

You’ve seen the model’s MLB outs recorded picks for some popular props on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s best MLB picks from Matt Severance, who’s on a sizzling 129-66 (+1930.5) roll on MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best bets for Thursday’s MLB schedule, and be sure to see Jacob Fetner’s and the Inside the Lines team’s best bets for Thursday.