Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction, odds: ‘Monday Night Football’ picks, best bets from proven model

A pair of teams motivated to end losing streaks will meet in the NFL Week 11 finale when the Dallas Cowboys visit the Las Vegas Raiders on ‘Monday Night Football.’ Dallas (3-5-1) has lost back-to-back games, last falling to Arizona, 27-17, also on ‘MNF’ in Week 9 before having a bye. The Raiders (2-7) are mired in a three-game losing streak and fell to Denver, 10-7, last Thursday. The Raiders lead the all-time series, 7-6, and won the last matchup in 2021. This will be the Cowboys’ first regular season visit to Vegas since the Raiders relocated from Oakland in 2020. Cowboys defensive lineman Solomon Thomas (calf) has been ruled out.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The latest Raiders vs. Cowboys odds have Dallas as the 3.5-point road favorites, while the over/under for total points scored is 48.5, down two points from the opening line. Before making any Cowboys vs. Raiders picks, be sure to see what the SportsLine projection model has to say. 

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 11 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.  

Now, the model has zeroed in on Las Vegas vs. Dallas. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. Raiders:

Why the Cowboys can cover

Dallas is coming off a bye, and the Cowboys sport a 7-3 ATS mark with a rest advantage since 2023. The Cowboys also have a big advantage between the lines as they have an offense which ranks in the top five in scoring, total yards, passing offense and yards per play. Running back, Javonte Williams, ranks third in rushing yards per game, while wideouts, George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, both rank in the top six in receiving yards per game. This juggernaut of an offense contrasts with what the Raiders trot out as Las Vegas ranks in the bottom-three in both scoring offense and total offense. See which team to back at SportsLine.

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Why the Raiders can cover

The Raiders have covered in three of their last four games and get to face a Dallas team which has underperformed when giving points. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS as favorites, and much of Dallas’ struggles are due to its defense. The team sits 31st in both scoring defense and total defense, which is one step up from it ranking dead last in third-down defense. Meanwhile, the Raiders defense is coming off its best showing in terms of points allowed (10) and yards allowed (220) versus an 8-2 Broncos squad. On offense, Ashton Jeanty is showing why he was so highly drafted as the rookie has six touchdowns over his last six games, while Brock Bowers has three scores in his two games since returning from injury. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

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How to make Cowboys vs. Raiders picks

For Raiders vs. Cowboys on ‘Monday Night Football,’ the model is leaning Over the total, projecting 49 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time in an A-rated pick. See what it is at SportsLine, and use promo code CHAMPIONSHIP to get your first month at SportsLine for $1.

Who wins Cowboys vs. Raiders, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations in an A-rated pick? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Cowboys spread you need to jump, all from the model that is 47-32 on top-rated picks since 2024, and find out.