2026 NFL Mock Draft: Three QBs taken in the top 5 and a No. 1 pick nobody saw coming
Written by CBS SPORTS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED on November 11, 2025
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There’s a misconception floating around about the 2026 NFL Draft. Before this college season kicked off, Texas’ Arch Manning, South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers and LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier were widely viewed as the top eligible quarterback prospects. Those three haven’t quite met the early expectations, which has some people jumping to the conclusion that this is a “weak” QB class.
In reality, the rise of Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza (my QB1 back in May), Alabama’s Ty Simpson and Oregon’s Dante Moore has reshaped the board. All three still have remaining eligibility and could theoretically return to school in 2026, but in today’s thought exercise, they come off the board quickly — just not at No. 1 overall.
Four teams enter the first round with multiple picks, while just as many have none. The Browns and Rams dealt away theirs in separate draft-day moves a year ago, and the Jets and Cowboys moved on from Quinnen Williams and Micah Parsons, respectively.
To set the stage, here are the current odds to be the No. 1 overall pick (via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Odds to be No. 1 overall pick
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ty Simpson (Alabama QB) | +185 |
| Fernando Mendoza (Indiana QB) | +230 |
| Dante Moore (Oregon QB) | +700 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. (Miami EDGE) | +750 |
| LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina QB) | +1000 |
| Arvell Reese (Ohio State EDGE) | +1000 |
Reminder: This is the current NFL draft order after Week 10 (via Tankathon).
Without further ado, let’s kick this off!
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