Bengals can still make NFL playoffs if this crazy scenario plays out over final three weeks of 2024 season

It’s been a disappointing year for the Cincinnati Bengals. At 7-8, it kind of feels like their season is over, but it’s NOT, and that’s because they could still make the playoffs. 

Thanks to their 24-6 win over the Browns in Week 16, the Bengals are still alive for a playoff spot. As Lloyd Christmas would say, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance!”

Sure, the Bengals need a Christmas miracle to make the postseason, but it can happen if a few things go their way over the final three weeks of the season. 

With that in mind, let’s check out what has to happen for Cincinnati to make the playoffs. 

1. Bengals have to win out

The Bengals have no margin for error, which means they have to go 2-0 over the final two weeks of the season, and here’s who they’ll be playing: 

Week 17: vs. Broncos
Week 18: at Steelers

The win over the Browns has now set up a showdown with the Broncos in Week 17. The advantage for the Bengals in that game is that it’s at home. As for Week 18, the Bengals will have to beat the Steelers on the road if they want to have any chance of making the playoffs. 

2. Broncos have to lose out

If Denver gets to 10 wins, the Bengals won’t be able to make the playoffs, so Cincinnati will need the Broncos to lose their final two games. The Bengals did get some help from the Chargers, who beat the Broncos 34-27 on Thursday night. 

Let’s take a look at Denver’s schedule: 

Week 17: at Bengals
Week 18: vs. Chiefs

If the Broncos lose to the Bengals in Week 17, that will make things incredibly interesting. That being said, if the Chiefs clinch the top seed in the AFC before Week 18, then they’ll almost certainly be benching their starters for their finale against Denver. However, with Patrick Mahomes banged up, it’s certainly possible that Kansas City could lose on Christmas to the Steelers, and if that happens, the Chiefs would probably have to play their starters in Week 18.

3. Dolphins lose at least one more game

If the Bengals want to make the playoffs, the Dolphins can’t reach nine wins, and at this point, it seems unlikely that the Dolphins will be able to do that. If the Dolphins lose just ONE more game, they can’t hit the nine-win mark. Here’s a look at the Dolphins’ final three games: 

Week 16: vs. 49ers
Week 17: at Browns
Week 18: at Jets

If the Dolphins lose to the 49ers, that will take them to nine losses, which would be good news for the Bengals. However, even if they beat San Francisco, the Dolphins have lost 12 straight games when the temperature is under 40 degrees, and it’s almost certainly going to be under 40 degrees when they travel to Cleveland and New York to end the season, so a loss in one of those two games wouldn’t be shocking.  

4. Colts lose at least one more game

If the Bengals want to make the playoffs, the Colts, who beat the Titans in Week 16, also can’t reach nine wins, but unlike the Dolphins, Indy actually has a very favorable schedule down the stretch. Here’s a look at their final two games: 

Week 17: at Giants
Week 18: vs. Jaguars

This is probably the most unrealistic scenario when it comes to the Bengals’ playoff chances. The Colts will be favored in their final two games, so Cincinnati will need someone to pull off an upset. The Colts have struggled against divisional opponents this year, going 2-3, so an upset win by Jacksonville isn’t out of the question. 

The good news for the Bengals is that as long as they beat the Broncos in Week 17, they’ll still be alive for a playoff berth heading into Week 18, no matter what else happens around the NFL. 

With Joe Burrow putting up MVP numbers, the Bengals would certainly be a dangerous team if they were to make the playoffs, but right now, the odds are stacked against them.