Chiefs vs. Bills odds, picks, spread, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2024 Week 11 NFL predictions

The AFC’s top teams face off in a highly-awaited matchup as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (8-2) host Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) in NFL Week 11 action on CBS and Paramount+. Buffalo has won five in a row, including a 30-20 victory against the Indianapolis Colts its last time out. Meanwhile, the defending Super Bowl champs have scratched and clawed to maintain their perfect record, narrowly beating the Denver Broncos,16-14, in Week 10. You may be able to stream Sunday’s game live on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first seven days when you sign up here.

Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Buffalo is 4:25 p.m. ET. The Bills are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 46. Buffalo is a -133 money line favorite (risk $133 to win $100), while Kansas City is a +113 underdog. Sunday’s game will be streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan, which you can now get on a 7-day free trial.

Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every NFL on CBS game this season. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, Serie A, and countless movies and shows. You can now get a free 7-day trial, so sign up right here. 

How to watch Chiefs vs. Bills

• Bills vs. Chiefs date: Sunday, Nov. 17
• Bills vs. Chiefs time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Bills vs. Chiefs TV channel: CBS 
• Bills vs. Chiefs streaming: Paramount+ 

Week 11 NFL picks for Chiefs vs. Bills

Before tuning into Sunday’s Bills vs. Chiefs game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 197-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

For Bills vs. Chiefs, the model is backing Buffalo to cover the spread at home. The Bills have won all four of their home games this season and are hosting a Chiefs side that has failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games regardless of venue. The Bills are also scoring the third-most points per game (29.0) in the NFL and have scored 30 or more points in each of their last four games, which sets them up nicely to challenge the No. 4-ranked total defense in the league.

Andy Reid’s team has found all sorts of ways to grind out wins this season and stay undefeated, but the model has Buffalo ending that streak as the Bills cover the spread in well over 50% of simulations. You may be able to stream the game here.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Don’t forget you can now try Paramount+ free for the first week.