Nuggets vs. Warriors prediction, odds, spread, time: 2024 NBA picks, January 4 best bets from proven model

A Western Conference collision at Chase Center has the Golden State Warriors (16-17) hosting the Denver Nuggets (24-11) on Thursday. This is the third matchup of the season between these clubs and Denver has dominated the series lately. On Christmas Day, the Nuggets defeated the Warriors 111-93. Draymond Green (suspension) remains out for Golden State, and Gary Payton II (hamstring) is also sidelined.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET in San Francisco. Denver is the 3.5-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds, per SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 234.5. Before making any Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 106-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Nuggets:

• Nuggets vs. Warriors spread: Denver -3.5
• Nuggets vs. Warriors over/under: 234.5 points 
• Nuggets vs. Warriors money line: Denver -170, Golden State +143
• DEN: The Nuggets are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games
• GS: The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games
• Nuggets vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Nuggets can cover

Guard Jamal Murray is a relentless and effective ball handler who spaces the floor with ease due to his knockdown jumper. The Kentucky product is also a finesse finisher in the lane. Murray logs 19.7 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per game. In the New Year’s Day win over the Hornets, he had 25 points and seven assists.

Forward Michael Porter Jr. is a superb offensive talent who can score from all three levels and be a valuable asset on the glass. The Missouri product puts up 16.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Additionally, he’s making 39% of his 3-point attempts. In his last contest, Porter Jr. racked up 22 points, eight rebounds, and made four 3-pointers. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Stephen Curry continues to excel as the main offensive weapon for Golden State. Curry is currently ninth in the NBA in scoring (27.6) to go along with 4.6 assists per game. In his last contest, Curry stuffed the stat sheet with 36 points, six assists, and four steals. He has notched at least 30 points in 14 games thus far this season. 

Forward Jonathan Kuminga has taken more of an offensive role when he’s on the floor. Kuminga is very athletic, owning the verticality to soar above the rim. The 21-year-old gets downhill in a flash, averaging 12.7 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. He’s recorded 15-plus points in back-to-back games. In Tuesday’s victory over the Magic, Kuminga totaled 19 points, six boards, four assists, and two blocks. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Warriors vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 236 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 106-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.